Photograph: KHALED DESOUKI/AFP
No, the title of this post is not the result of any inside information I have about contact between President Obama and President Mubarak. What it is, however, is what many of us want to hear. We want to hear the president of the United States demand that the President of Egypt listen to the clearly expressed will of his people and announce his resignation. It would touch every ideal we have of our nation and of the American Presidency.
The memory of President Reagan’s clarion “Mr. Gorbachev, tear down this wall!” and President Kennedy’s “Ich bin ein Berliner!” are so ingrained in our culture that those of us not yet born for one or both of those events still feel that we remember them. We want President Obama to stand up and make just such a call for freedom. Just as the fall of the iron curtain led to one generations’ expansion of freedom at the center of its most dangerous conflict, so too, could democratic revolutions leading to truly representative governments throughout the middle east lead to a revolution of ideas and participatory government in the heart of today’s most conflicted region.
But, wait a minute, should the president of the United States tell one nation who should or should not rule it? Isn’t American meddling in the domestic affairs of other nations one of its biggest mistakes? From Vietnam to Iran to Latin America, have not generations of dictators only gained and held power thanks to generations of immoral American support and intervention? Doesn’t President Barack Hussein Obama set a new example by saying that the people of Egypt deserve our support and a transition to democracy must begin now but that he will not say who should or should not rule Egypt? Isn’t this exactly what we want in a leader?
Still, Hosni Mubarak has received American support for pretty much his entire three decade rule. Doesn’t that, then, give an American President the right to reverse that support in order to change course for his own nation? Would not removing support from Mubarak and calling on him to step down be similar to removing support from the Shah of Iran or abandoning Diem to defeat saving thousands of American lives? Isn’t it time to put real pressure on Mubarak to leave office now?
But how would we apply that pressure? The greatest American lever on the Egyptian machine of state is our greater-than-one-billion-dollar yearly support of the Egyptian military. We could threaten to revoke that if Mubarak doesn’t step down. Without our support, surely the Egyptian military would degrade to the point of being ineffective, right? Or maybe just this threat would be enough to push the military, already seemingly unsure of its opinion of Mubarak, to pressure him into leaving office.
But wait, hasn’t the military been a force for order and support of the protesters? How many tanks have protesters painted with their slogans? How many photographs have protesters taken with soldiers, how many soldiers have they carried on their shoulders in celebration. How many protesters stood arm-in-arm to protect the Cairo museum as one of the Egyptian military’s tanks parked behind them in support? When have we ever before seen a human chain of protesters, instead of blocking a tank, supported by one? When Egyptian pro-Mubarak forces, by all accounts organized and deployed by the state, attacked peaceful protesters in Cairo and Alexandria, did not the military step between the two sides to separate them? Why should we threaten a military that has shown exemplary support of its people even stating, “Your message was received and we know your demands…We are with you and for you,” as it urged calm on Wednesday? Could not such threats cause some in the military to view the protesters as an enemy and lead to the kind of Tiananmen-like confrontations the military has, thus-far, done so well to avoid?
Well, what about simply telling Mubarak to step down? The United States is clearly his most powerful ally. Just the force of an American president telling him to resign, wouldn’t that help? Maybe not. Right now, Mubarak seems to have no support from the Arab street. Could taking a stand against an interventionist demand from an American president change that? Sure, the mass of opinion seems to be with the protesters. However, might not having an imperialist-seeming American president to defy sufficiently muddy the waters for Mubarak to claim retaining power as an act of Egyptian independence from America? This is a man who has held on to power for thirty years and, by many reports, had been grooming his son to continue that role in the future. Is bowing to direct pressure on a world stage even possible for him?
So, if threatening the military is a mistake and directly making demands of Mubarak is dangerous, might not behind-the-scenes, high-pressure diplomacy be the best and most fruitful course of action? Mubarak moved from condemning the protesters a few days ago to promising that neither he nor his son will run in accelerated elections. Internet service, according to New York Times reports, is beginning to somewhat return in Egypt. Are these not the fruits of the Obama administration’s approach? Like the healthcare bill’s resurrection after Scott Brown’s seemingly nail-in-the-coffin resurrection and Obama’s success after his 2010 election “shellacking” might this not be evidence of a president who knows how to actually get things done despite whatever outcry, panic, and condemnation the national or international media offers?
Perhaps President Obama still is the coolest man in the room. Perhaps he is doing exactly what he should.
Still, there is the new dimension of pro-Mubarak, government orchestrated or not, forces attacking protesters. This threatens chaos. No less a mind that Nicholas Kristoff warned of, witnessed, then discussed this on the ground in Tahrir Square near his old apartment.
The situation is muddy. The correct course is unclear. Is this a Gordian Knot to be cut with clear speech about human rights or a nautilus shell to be threaded by careful dialogue out of the public eye?
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Bob Schieffer’s Passive Acceptance
On Face the Nation this morning, Howard Dean said the Tea Party has some racist fringe elements, but many of them are people who want the people to have more power and influence in the country like supporters of me did when I ran for president. Liz Cheney’s response, basically, “Howard, you’re wrong for portraying the tea party as an extreme right group.”
What? Seriously, and Bob Schieffer didn’t even call her on it. Then, Lindsey Graham characterized the cap and trade bill he supported as so extreme that Democrats are shooting holes in it. Now, the Democratic Senate candidate in West Virginia may have done so, but don’t you think honesty might have required Lindsey to mention that he supported the bill that he is now characterizing as part of a liberal fringe?
Filed under: commentary | Tagged: Bob Schieffer, Cap and Trade, Face the Nation, Joe Manchin, Lindsey Graham, Shoots | Leave a comment »